Follow
A day before Selection Sunday and it’s a projected three-way race for the final at-large bid.
UC Irvine, UC Santa Barbara and USC all remain in contention last at-large bid, according to the latest bracketology from Off the Block.
Off the Block examine each of the 88 data points currently available to the NCAA men’s volleyball selection committee.
There are 10 criteria categories the selection committee uses to determine the seven-team NCAA Tournament field, including the two at-large bids. Each of these categories can also have sub-components depending how the committee evaluates the data:
— RPI ranking
— Strength of schedule
— Won-lost results
— Head-to-head competition
— Results versus non-conference opponents
— Home and away results
— Results against common opponents
— Results against teams already qualified and other teams under consideration
— Eligibility and availability of student-athletes for NCAA championships.
Long Beach State and Hawai’i are locks to make the NCAA Tournament, according to Off the Block’s bracketology. The bracketology is also projecting Pepperdine to make the NCAA Tournament if it loses to USC in the MPSF Tournament finals.
While USC can still earn an automatic bid by winning its conference tournament, UC Santa Barbara’s and UC Irvine’s only chance to make the NCAA Tournament is through an at-large bid. Both the Anteaters and Gauchos lost in the Big West Tournament semifinals on Friday.
Below is a comparison among all UC Irvine, UC Santa Barbara and USC using the updated data points currently available to the selection committee.
RPI Ranking
RPI Ranking
UC Santa Barbara: No. 4
UC Irvine: No. 5
USC: No. 6
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Average RPI Win
UC Santa Barbara: 18
UC Irvine: 15
USC: 17
Edge: UC Irvine
Average RPI Loss
UC Santa Barbara: 3
UC Irvine: 7
USC: 7
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Conference RPI
UC Santa Barbara: No. 1
UC Irvine: No. 1
USC: No. 2
Edge: UC Santa Barbara, UC Irvine
Non-conference RPI
UC Santa Barbara: No. 4
UC Irvine: No. 8
USC: No. 3
Edge: USC
Conference’s Non-conference RPI
UC Santa Barbara: No. 2
UC Irvine: No. 2
USC: No. 1
Edge: USC
Strength of schedule
Strength of Schedule
UC Santa Barbara: No. 3
UC Irvine: No. 2
USC: No. 7
Edge: UC Irvine
Opponent Strength of Schedule
UC Santa Barbara: No. 8
UC Irvine: No. 6
USC: No. 9
Edge: UC Irvine
Non-conference Strength of Schedule
UC Santa Barbara: No. 13
UC Irvine: No. 14
USC: No. 1
Edge: USC
Non-conference Opponent Strength of Schedule
UC Santa Barbara: No. 10
UC Irvine: No. 5
USC: No. 20
Edge: UC Irvine
Won-lost results
Won-Lost Record
UC Santa Barbara: 18-10
UC Irvine: 18-11
USC: 18-9
Edge: USC
Won-Lost Percentage Ranking
UC Santa Barbara: No. 12
UC Irvine: No. 13
USC: No. 11
Edge: USC
Neutral Site Record
UC Santa Barbara: 3-1
UC Irvine: 3-1
USC: 5-1
Edge: USC
Conference Record
UC Santa Barbara: 4-6
UC Irvine: 5-5
USC: 9-5
Edge: USC
Conference Neutral Site Record
UC Santa Barbara: 1-1
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 2-0
Edge: USC, UC Irvine
Record vs. RPI 1-5
UC Santa Barbara: 0-9
UC Irvine: 3-6
USC: 3-4
Edge: USC
Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 1-5
UC Santa Barbara: 0-1
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 0-0
Edge: Three-way push
Conference Record vs. RPI 1-5
UC Santa Barbara: 0-7
UC Irvine: 2-5
USC: 2-2
Edge: USC
Conference Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 1-5
UC Santa Barbara: 0-1
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 0-0
Edge: Three-way push
Record vs. RPI 6-10
UC Santa Barbara: 3-1
UC Irvine: 4-2
USC: 3-2
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 6-10
UC Santa Barbara: 0-0
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 1-0
Edge: USC
Conference Record vs. RPI 6-10
UC Santa Barbara: 0-0
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 3-2
Edge: USC
Conference Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 6-10
UC Santa Barbara: 0-0
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 1-0
Edge: USC
Record vs. RPI 11-15
UC Santa Barbara: 6-0
UC Irvine: 3-2
USC: 3-3
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 11-15
UC Santa Barbara: 1-0
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 0-1
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Conference Record vs. RPI 11-15
UC Santa Barbara: 3-0
UC Irvine: 1-1
USC: 3-2
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Conference Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 11-15
UC Santa Barbara: 1-0
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 0-0
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Record vs. RPI 16-43
UC Santa Barbara: 9-0
UC Irvine: 8-1
USC: 9-0
Edge: UC Santa Barbara, USC
Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 16-43
UC Santa Barbara: 2-0
UC Irvine: 3-0
USC: 4-0
Edge: Three-way push
Conference Record vs. RPI 16-43
UC Santa Barbara: 2-0
UC Irvine: 3-0
USC: 3-0
Edge: Three-way push
Conference Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 16-43
UC Santa Barbara: 0-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 1-0
Edge: USC, UC Irvine
Record vs. RPI 21+
UC Santa Barbara: 7-0
UC Irvine: 5-1
USC: 7-0
Edge: UC Santa Barbara, UCLA, USC
Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 21+
UC Santa Barbara: 2-0
UC Irvine: 2-0
USC: 3-0
Edge: Three-way push
Conference Record vs. RPI 21+
UC Santa Barbara: 2-0
UC Irvine: 3-0
USC: 3-0
Edge: Three-way push
Conference Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 21+
UC Santa Barbara: 0-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 1-0
Edge: USC, UC Irvine
Head-to-head competition
Head-to-Head
UC Santa Barbara: 0-2
UC Irvine: 3-1
USC: 1-1
Edge: UC Irvine
Non-conference record
Non-conference Record
UC Santa Barbara: 13-3
UC Irvine: 12-5
USC: 8-4
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Non-conference Record Percentage Rank
UC Santa Barbara: No. 3
UC Irvine: No. 7
USC: No. 8
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Non-conference Home Record
UC Santa Barbara: 9-1
UC Irvine: 3-0
USC: 5-0
Edge: USC, UC Irvine
Non-conference Road Record
UC Santa Barbara: 2-2
UC Irvine: 7-5
USC: 0-3
Edge: UC Irvine
Non-conference Neutral Site Record
UC Santa Barbara: 2-0
UC Irvine: 2-0
USC: 3-1
Edge: UC Irvine, UC Santa Barbara
Non-conference Record vs. RPI 1-5
UC Santa Barbara: 0-2
UC Irvine: 1-1
USC: 2-3
Edge: UC Irvine
Non-conference Home Record vs. RPI 1-5
UC Santa Barbara: 0-1
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 2-0
Edge: UC Irvine, USC
Non-conference Road Record vs. RPI 1-5
UC Santa Barbara: 0-1
UC Irvine: 0-1
USC: 0-3
Edge: Three-way push
Non-conference Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 1-5
UC Santa Barbara: 0-0
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 0-0
Edge: Three-way push
Non-conference Record vs. RPI 6-10
UC Santa Barbara: 3-1
UC Irvine: 4-2
USC: 0-0
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Non-conference Home Record vs. RPI 6-10
UC Santa Barbara: 3-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 0-0
Edge: UC Irvine, UC Santa Barbara
Non-conference Road Record vs. RPI 6-10
UC Santa Barbara: 0-1
UC Irvine: 3-2
USC: 0-0
Edge: UC Irvine
Non-conference Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 6-10
UC Santa Barbara: 0-0
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 0-0
Edge: Three-way push
Non-conference Record vs. RPI 11-15
UC Santa Barbara: 3-0
UC Irvine: 2-1
USC: 0-1
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Non-conference Home Record vs. RPI 11-15
UC Santa Barbara: 3-0
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 0-0
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Non-conference Road Record vs. RPI 11-15
UC Santa Barbara: 0-0
UC Irvine: 2-1
USC: 0-0
Edge: UC Irvine
Non-conference Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 11-15
UC Santa Barbara: 0-0
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 0-1
Edge: Three-way push
Non-conference Record vs. RPI 16-43
UC Santa Barbara: 7-0
UC Irvine: 5-1
USC: 6-0
Edge: USC, UC Santa Barbara
Non-conference Home Record vs. RPI 16-43
UC Santa Barbara: 3-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 3-0
Edge: Three-way push
Non-conference Road Record vs. RPI 16-43
UC Santa Barbara: 2-0
UC Irvine: 2-1
USC: 0-0
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Non-conference Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 16-43
UC Santa Barbara: 2-0
UC Irvine: 2-0
USC: 3-0
Edge: Three-way push
Non-conference Record vs. RPI 21+
UC Santa Barbara: 5-0
UC Irvine: 2-1
USC: 4-0
Edge: UC Santa Barbara, USC
Non-conference Home Record vs. RPI 21+
UC Santa Barbara: 3-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 2-0
Edge: Three-way push
Non-conference Road Record vs. RPI 21+
UC Santa Barbara: 0-0
UC Irvine: 0-1
USC: 0-0
Edge: Three-way push
Non-conference Neutral Site Record vs. RPI 21+
UC Santa Barbara: 2-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 2-0
Edge: Three-way push
Home record
Home Record
UC Santa Barbara: 11-3
UC Irvine: 6-3
USC: 12-0
UCLA: 10-1
Edge: USC
Conference Home Record
UC Santa Barbara: 2-2
UC Irvine: 3-3
USC: 7-0
Edge: USC
Home Record vs. RPI 1-5
UC Santa Barbara: 0-3
UC Irvine: 2-3
USC: 3-0
Edge: USC
Conference Home Record vs. RPI 1-5
UC Santa Barbara: 0-2
UC Irvine: 1-3
USC: 2-0
Edge: USC
Home Record vs. RPI 6-10
UC Santa Barbara: 3-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 2-0
Edge: Three-way push
Conference Home Record vs. RPI 6-10
UC Santa Barbara: 0-0
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 2-0
Edge: USC
Home Record vs. RPI 11-15
UC Santa Barbara: 4-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 3-0
Edge: Three-way push
Conference Home Record vs. RPI 11-15
UC Santa Barbara: 1-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 3-0
Edge: Three-way push
Home Record vs. RPI 16-43
UC Santa Barbara: 4-0
UC Irvine: 2-0
USC: 4-0
Edge: Three-way push
Conference Home Record vs. RPI 16-43
UC Santa Barbara: 1-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 1-0
Edge: Three-way push
Home Record vs. RPI 21+
UC Santa Barbara: 4-0
UC Irvine: 2-0
USC: 3-0
Edge: Three-way push
Conference Home Record vs. RPI 21+
UC Santa Barbara: 1-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 1-0
Edge: Three-way push
Road record
Road Record
UC Santa Barbara: 4-6
UC Irvine: 9-8
USC: 1-8
Edge: UC Irvine
Conference Road Record
UC Santa Barbara: 2-4
UC Irvine: 2-3
USC: 1-5
Edge: UC Irvine
Road Record vs. RPI 1-5
UC Santa Barbara: 0-5
UC Irvine: 1-3
USC: 0-4
Edge: UC Irvine
Conference Road Record vs. RPI 1-5
UC Santa Barbara: 0-4
UC Irvine: 1-2
USC: 0-2
Edge: UC Irvine
Road Record vs. RPI 6-10
UC Santa Barbara: 0-1
UC Irvine: 3-2
USC: 0-2
Edge: UC Irvine
Conference Road Record vs. RPI 6-10
UC Santa Barbara: 0-0
UC Irvine: 0-0
USC: 0-2
Edge: Three-way push
Road Record vs. RPI 11-15
UC Santa Barbara: 1-0
UC Irvine: 2-2
USC: 0-2
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Conference Road Record vs. RPI 11-15
UC Santa Barbara: 1-0
UC Irvine: 0-1
USC: 0-2
Edge: UC Santa Barbara
Road Record vs. RPI 16-43
UC Santa Barbara: 3-0
UC Irvine: 3-1
USC: 1-0
Edge: UC Santa Barbara, USC
Conference Road Record vs. RPI 16-43
UC Santa Barbara: 1-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 1-0
Edge: Three-way push
Road Record vs. RPI 21+
UC Santa Barbara: 1-0
UC Irvine: 1-1
USC: 1-0
Edge: UC Santa Barbara, USC
Conference Road Record vs. RPI 21+
UC Santa Barbara: 1-0
UC Irvine: 1-0
USC: 1-0
Edge: Three-way push
Record against common opponents
Record vs. Common Opponents
(Common opponents are Long Beach, Hawai’i, Pepperdine, BYU, Grand Canyon, Concordia-Irvine)
UC Santa Barbara: 4-7
UC Irvine: 6-6
USC: 8-5
Edge: USC
Record against teams qualified or under NCAA Tournament consideration
Record vs. Teams Under NCAA Tournament Consideration
(Projected teams are Long Beach State, Hawai’i, Pepperdine, Princeton, Barton, Lewis, UCLA, USC, UC Santa Barbara and UC Irvine)
UC Santa Barbara: 2-10
UC Irvine: 6-7
USC: 6-6
Edge: USC
Eligibility and availability of athletes
Eligibility and availability of athletes
No datapoint regarding injuries is currently provided to the selection committee.
Edge: Three-way push. Unknown if official injury listings will be provided to the selection committee.
Overall edge
[Editor’s note: Committee chairman Lenny Kaplan said Wednesday in an interview with Off the Block that the committee would be taking a holistic look at the data to determine the at-large bids. As a result, Off the Block while determining its overall edge did not place an additional emphasis on a single datapoint. For Off the Block’s calculations, a team received one point if it out-right won a selection criteria category component and received a half-point it finished tied for the lead.]
Overall edge standings (as of April 19)
1. USC — 37.5 points
2. UC Santa Barbara — 35.5 points
4. UC Irvine 32.5 points